Winning a union election takes weeks. Reaching a first contract takes 465 days on average, according to Bloomberg Law's analysis of federal labor databases.
Workers at The New Yorker, Pitchfork, and Ars Technica voted to join the NewsGuild of New York in 2018. Their first contract didn't arrive until June 2021.
Forty-four percent of newly certified unions between 1999 and 2004 never reached a first contract, according to a study of more than 8,000 successful elections by sociologist John-Paul Ferguson. The election was the easy part.
Fifty-two percent of newly certified unions don't reach a first contract within a year of winning their election. Nearly a third still don't have one after three years.